Have a personal or library account? Click to login

An Immense Approach of High Order Fuzzy Time Series Forecasting of Household Consumption Expenditures with High Precision

Open Access
|Aug 2024

Abstract

Fuzzy Time Series (Fts) models are experiencing an increase in popularity due to their effectiveness in forecasting and modelling diverse and intricate time series data sets. Essentially these models use membership functions and fuzzy logic relation functions to produce predicted outputs through a defuzzification process. In this study, we suggested using a Second Order Type-1 fts (S-O T-1 F-T-S) forecasting model for the analysis of time series data sets. The suggested method was compared to the state-of-theart First Order Type 1 Fts method. The suggested approach demonstrated superior performance compared to the First Order Type 1 Fts method when applied to household consumption data from the Magene Regency in Indonesia, as measured by absolute percentage error rate (APER).

DOI: https://doi.org/10.2478/acss-2024-0001 | Journal eISSN: 2255-8691 | Journal ISSN: 2255-8683
Language: English
Page range: 1 - 7
Submitted on: Jun 6, 2023
Accepted on: Dec 18, 2023
Published on: Aug 15, 2024
Published by: Riga Technical University
In partnership with: Paradigm Publishing Services
Publication frequency: 1 times per year

© 2024 Syed Muhammad Aqil Burney, Muhammad Shahbaz Khan, Affan Alim, Riswan Efendi, published by Riga Technical University
This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.