Figure 1.

Figure 2.

Figure 3.

Figure 4.

Univariate and Multivariate Cox regression results of prognosis-associated ARG in MM patients with ABN
| Gene | Univariate Cox regression | Multivariate Cox regression | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HR | Lower 95% CI | Upper 95% CI | P | HR | Lower 95% CI | Upper 95% CI | P | |
| ARNT | 1.5304* | 1.064 | 2.202 | 0.0219 | 1.498746* | 1.0238 | 2.194 | 0.0374 |
| ATG4B | 0.5552* | 0.3172 | 0.972 | 0.0395 | 0.554451* | 0.3167 | 0.9708 | 0.0391 |
| ATG4D | 0.5521*** | 0.3891 | 0.7833 | 0.0008 | 0.568641** | 0.3919 | 0.825 | 0.00295 |
| ATIC | 1.8684** | 1.236 | 2.824 | 0.00302 | 1.857592** | 1.2147 | 2.841 | 0.00427 |
| BIRC5 | 1.30634*** | 1.163 | 1.467 | 6.22e–06 | 1.343899*** | 1.1901 | 1.518 | 1.87e–06 |
| CAPN10 | 1.21016* | 1.008 | 1.453 | 0.041 | 1.26361* | 1.0470 | 1.525 | 0.0147 |
| CASP3 | 1.4334* | 1.013 | 2.029 | 0.0422 | 1.505861* | 1.0472 | 2.165 | 0.0272 |
| CDKN1A | 0.7103** | 0.5645 | 0.8938 | 0.00353 | 0.726627** | 0.5787 | 0.9124 | 0.00598 |
| CDKN2A | 1.4842* | 1.056 | 2.085 | 0.0228 | 1.54526* | 1.0525 | 2.269 | 0.0263 |
| CXCR4 | 0.73568*** | 0.6289 | 0.8606 | 0.000125 | 0.765047** | 0.6486 | 0.9025 | 0.00148 |
| DNAJB9 | 0.6088* | 0.389 | 0.9529 | 0.0299 | 0.593613* | 0.3766 | 0.9356 | 0.0246 |
| EIF2S1 | 1.6981** | 1.156 | 2.494 | 0.00692 | 1.79448** | 1.1872 | 2.712 | 0.00553 |
| EIF4EBP1 | 1.34577*** | 1.128 | 1.605 | 0.000955 | 1.312952** | 1.1006 | 1.566 | 0.00249 |
| EIF4G1 | 2.3264*** | 1.493 | 3.626 | 0.000193 | 2.206738*** | 1.3948 | 3.491 | 0.000721 |
| FADD | 1.5694* | 1.063 | 2.317 | 0.0234 | 1.61684* | 1.0894 | 2.400 | 0.01708 |
| FKBP1A | 1.8452** | 1.187 | 2.868 | 0.00647 | 1.88003** | 1.1997 | 2.946 | 0.00588 |
| FKBP1B | 0.82577** | 0.7243 | 0.9414 | 0.0042 | 0.851602* | 0.7454 | 0.973 | 0.0181 |
| FOXO1 | 0.6549* | 0.4739 | 0.9051 | 0.0103 | 0.645133** | 0.4668 | 0.8917 | 0.00794 |
| FOXO3 | 0.7363* | 0.5657 | 0.9583 | 0.0228 | 0.72246* | 0.5501 | 0.9489 | 0.01942 |
| GABARAP | 0.4739** | 0.2896 | 0.7753 | 0.00295 | 0.464234** | 0.2809 | 0.7672 | 0.00276 |
| GNAI3 | 1.5955* | 1.082 | 2.353 | 0.0184 | 1.542438* | 1.0415 | 2.284 | 0.0305 |
| HDAC6 | 1.7322* | 1.059 | 2.834 | 0.0288 | 1.645421* | 1.0051 | 2.694 | 0.0477 |
| HGS | 1.8098* | 1.14 | 2.873 | 0.0119 | 1.696411* | 1.0619 | 2.710 | 0.027 |
| HSP90AB1 | 1.6281* | 1.088 | 2.436 | 0.0178 | 1.594093* | 1.0567 | 2.405 | 0.0262 |
| IL24 | 0.82369* | 0.6869 | 0.9877 | 0.0363 | 0.795624* | 0.6579 | 0.9622 | 0.0184 |
| IRGM | 0.81103* | 0.6737 | 0.9763 | 0.0269 | 0.823283* | 0.6834 | 0.9919 | 0.0408 |
| ITGA6 | 0.67844*** | 0.5709 | 0.8063 | 1.06e–05 | 0.686741** | 0.5770 | 0.8174 | 2.35e–05 |
| ATG13 | 0.4507*** | 0.2866 | 0.7087 | 0.000558 | 0.425973** | 0.2721 | 0.6669 | 0.00019 |
| LAMP2 | 0.7123* | 0.5495 | 0.9234 | 0.0104 | 0.73084* | 0.5619 | 0.9505 | 0.0193 |
| MAPK1 | 1.496* | 1.027 | 2.18 | 0.0359 | 1.481801* | 1.0079 | 2.179 | 0.0455 |
| MBTPS2 | 1.445* | 1.039 | 2.009 | 0.0287 | 1.435077* | 1.0182 | 2.023 | 0.0391 |
| NCKAP1 | 0.8715* | 0.7823 | 0.9709 | 0.0126 | 0.8927* | 0.7987 | 0.9978 | 0.0456 |
| PARP1 | 1.8204*** | 1.286 | 2.577 | 0.000729 | 1.938906*** | 0.8540 | 2.094 | 0.000271 |
| PRKCD | 0.7481* | 0.5748 | 0.9735 | 0.0308 | 0.751456* | 0.5741 | 0.9837 | 0.03755 |
| SIRT2 | 0.5835** | 0.4089 | 0.8327 | 0.00298 | 0.662074* | 0.4521 | 0.9696 | 0.0341 |
| TNFSF10 | 0.88013* | 0.7841 | 0.988 | 0.0304 | 0.87052* | 0.7759 | 0.9767 | 0.01824 |
| TP53 | 0.7408** | 0.6079 | 0.9029 | 0.00296 | 0.726943** | 0.5947 | 0.8887 | 0.00186 |
| TSC2 | 1.5559* | 1.099 | 2.202 | 0.0126 | 1.4891644* | 1.0499 | 2.112 | 0.0255 |
| VAMP3 | 0.571*** | 0.4168 | 0.7823 | 0.000485 | 0.596231** | 0.4317 | 0.8235 | 0.0017 |
| WDFY3 | 1.1406* | 1.017 | 1.28 | 0.025 | 1.132911* | 1.0127 | 1.267 | 0.0293 |
| WDR45L | 0.5495* | 0.3283 | 0.9198 | 0.0227 | 0.57379* | 0.3396 | 0.9696 | 0.0379 |
Outline of the study
| Study dataset (548 MM patients, GSE24080) | Validation dataset 1576 MM patients, GSE4204, GSE4452, GSE4581, and GSE2658) |
|---|---|
| Demographic properties of patients (Table 2) | Validation of prognosis-related ARGs in MM patients with ABN (only for 1q21 amplification) (Table 8) |
Demographic properties in MM patients
| Parameters (n = 548) | n (%) |
|---|---|
| Age (years); mean ± SD; 57.04 ± 9.37 | |
| Gender | |
| Male | 217 (39.59) |
| Female | 331 (60.40) |
| ABN | |
| Yes | 349 (63.68) |
| No | 199 (36.31) |
| Treatment protocol | |
| TT2 | 334 (60.94) |
| TT3 | 214 (39.05) |
| Race | |
| Caucasian | 486 (88.68) |
| Other | 62 (11.31) |
Validation of prognosis-related ARGs in MM patients with ABN
| Gene | Univariate Cox regression | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HR | Lower 95% CI | Upper 95% CI | P | |
| ARNT | 0.78874** | 0.6672 | 0.9324 | 0.00543 |
| ATG4B | 2.1821*** | 1.51 | 3.154 | 3.29e–05 |
| ATG4D | 0.2839*** | 0.1907 | 0.4226 | 5.56e–10 |
| ATIC | 3.5622*** | 2.485 | 5.107 | 4.72e–12 |
| CAPN10 | 0.4837*** | 0.3665 | 0.6383 | 2.87e–07 |
| CASP3 | 0.84905* | 0.7409 | 0.973 | 0.0186 |
| CDKN1A | 0.76380*** | 0.6658 | 0.8762 | 0.00012 |
| CDKN2A | 1.51399*** | 1.356 | 1.69 | 1.55e–13 |
| CXCR4 | 0.5576*** | 0.4568 | 0.6807 | 9.5e–09 |
| DNAJB9 | 1.7560** | 1.193 | 2.584 | 0.00427 |
| EIF4EBP1 | 0.81096*** | 0.726 | 0.9059 | 0.000207 |
| EIF4G1 | 0.6512** | 0.4911 | 0.8633 | 0.00287 |
| FADD | 1.6059** | 1.179 | 2.188 | 0.00268 |
| FKBP1A | 0.3130*** | 0.2093 | 0.4679 | 1.5e–08 |
| FKBP1B | 0.6616*** | 0.5228 | 0.8374 | 0.000589 |
| FOXO1 | 0.3332*** | 0.24 | 0.4626 | 5.25e–11 |
| FOXO3 | 0.7879* | 0.6265 | 0.9908 | 0.0415 |
| GNAI3 | 0.79854** | 0.6732 | 0.9472 | 0.00981 |
| HGS | 0.70614*** | 0.6254 | 0.7973 | 1.98e–08 |
| HSP90AB1 | 0.76746*** | 0.6908 | 0.8526 | 8.12e–07 |
| IL24 | 2.5083*** | 1.675 | 3.756 | 7.98e–06 |
| IRGM | 2.3205*** | 1.664 | 3.236 | 7.07e–07 |
| ITGA6 | 4.0435*** | 2.847 | 5.744 | 6.11e–15 |
| ATG13 | 0.3571*** | 0.2254 | 0.5658 | 1.16e–05 |
| LAMP2 | 2.4952*** | 1.774 | 3.509 | 1.48e–07 |
| MAPK1 | 2.0933*** | 1.395 | 3.142 | 0.000363 |
| TNFSF10 | 1.2571* | 1.021 | 1.548 | 0.0314 |
| TP53 | 1.25520* | 1.038 | 1.518 | 0.019 |
| TSC2 | 1.4152* | 1.04 | 1.925 | 0.027 |
Univariate Cox regression results of OS and EFS analyses (n = 548)
| Dependent variables | EFS | OS | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Independent variables | HR | Lower 95% CI | Upper 95% CI | P | HR | Lower 95% CI | Upper 95% CI | P |
| Age | 1.0126 | 0.9989 | 1.027 | 0.0725 | 1.0222* | 1.005 | 1.04 | 0.0107 |
| Sex | 0.9900 | 0.7652 | 1.281 | 0.9390 | 1.0018 | 0.7334 | 1.369 | 0.9910 |
| Race | 1.4538 | 0.9372 | 2.255 | 0.0948 | 1.0279 | 0.6367 | 1.657 | 0.9120 |
| Treatment protocol | 1.6409** | 1.203 | 2.238 | 0.0017 | 1.1982 | 0.8316 | 1.727 | 0.3320 |
| ABN | 1.8009*** | 1.398 | 2.319 | 0.0000519 | 2.2054*** | 1.624 | 2.995 | 0.0000408 |
Survival time according to patients with or without ABN
| Patients (months) | OS (mean ± SD) | EFS (mean ± SD) |
|---|---|---|
| All patients (n = 548) | 48.23 ± 22.36 | 42.61 ± 22.15 |
| Patients with ABN (n = 349) | 42.70 ± 24.79 | 37.63 ± 23.96 |
| Patients without ABN (n = 199) | 50.56 ± 20.50 | 44.93 ± 20.50 |
Univariate and multivariate Cox regression results of prognosis-associated ARG in MM patients without ABN
| Univariate and multivariate Cox regression results of prognosis-associated ARG in MM patients without ABNGene | Univariate Cox regression | Multivariate Cox regression | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HR | Lower 95% CI | Upper 95% CI | P | HR | Lower 95% CI | Upper 95% CI | P | |
| APOL1 | 0.80962* | 0.6862 | 0.9553 | 0.0124 | 0.828576* | 0.6996 | 0.9813 | 0.02935 |
| ARSA | 0.83103** | 0.7354 | 0.9391 | 0.003 | 0.845735** | 0.7462 | 0.9586 | 0.00873 |
| ATG16L2 | 1.2505* | 1.013 | 1.543 | 0.0374 | 1.30139* | 1.0507 | 1.612 | 0.01583 |
| ATG9A | 0.6562*** | 0.5114 | 0.8419 | 0.000923 | 0.705951** | 0.5506 | 0.9051 | 0.00603 |
| ATG101 | 0.6862** | 0.5156 | 0.9132 | 0.0098 | 0.703135* | 0.5146 | 0.9608 | 0.02703 |
| CDKN1A | 0.7468* | 0.5849 | 0.9536 | 0.0192 | 0.74999* | 0.5830 | 0.9648 | 0.02519 |
| DNAJB1 | 0.7074* | 0.5316 | 0.9414 | 0.0176 | 0.72321* | 0.5419 | 0.9653 | 0.02781 |
| DRAM1 | 0.7561* | 0.5756 | 0.9932 | 0.0446 | 0.74669* | 0.5729 | 0.9733 | 0.030754 |
| FKBP1B | 0.82008** | 0.7218 | 0.9318 | 0.00233 | 0.830138** | 0.7293 | 0.9449 | 0.00483 |
| FOXO3 | 0.7109** | 0.5585 | 0.905 | 0.00559 | 0.70415** | 0.5516 | 0.899 | 0.00488 |
| MAPK9 | 0.6577* | 0.4565 | 0.9474 | 0.0244 | 0.649662* | 0.4491 | 0.9398 | 0.022037 |
| NCKAP1 | 0.8088*** | 0.7198 | 0.9089 | 0.000362 | 0.82788** | 0.7360 | 0.9312 | 0.00164 |
| RAB24 | 0.7536* | 0.5958 | 0.953 | 0.0182 | 0.727826** | 0.5723 | 0.9256 | 0.009599 |
Multivariate Cox regression results of overall and event free survival analysis
| Dependent variables | EFS | OS | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Independent variables | Hazard ratio | Lower 95% C.I | Upper 95% C.I | P | Hazard ratio | Lower 95% C.I | Upper 95% C.I | P |
| Age | 1.0113 | 0.9971 | 1.026 | 0.1202 | 1.0234 | 1.0057 | 1.041 | 0.0093 |
| Sex | 0.9962 | 0.7689 | 1.291 | 0.9773 | 1.0308 | 0.7537 | 1.41 | 0.8489 |
| Race | 1.4049 | 0.8969 | 2.201 | 0.1375 | 0.9012 | 0.5515 | 1.473 | 0.6781 |
| Treatment protocol | 1.6626** | 1.2168 | 2.272 | 0.0014 | 1.2065 | 0.8357 | 1.742 | 0.3163 |
| Chromosomal abnormality | 1.7627*** | 1.3676 | 2.272 | 0.00012 | 2.1790*** | 1.6038 | 2.961 | 0.0000633 |