Abstract
Aim/purpose – The aim of this paper is to evaluate the efficiency of an investing in investment funds with different risk levels in times of a future life expectancy increase. For this purpose, it was analysed how future prices of the investment funds’ entities behave, depending on the window function and the age of the investors, in particular people of retirement age, for whom an investment income may be a supplementary way of raising additional capital.
Design/methodology/approach – Based on the historical data of the funds chosen from the different risk groups, a simulation of their price behaviour in the window function was carried out covering investor’s further life expectancy. Then, based on the result, the distribution of prices was analysed and the efficiency of investing in investment funds according to risk exposure was evaluated.
Findings – According to the conducted analyses, the funds with the lowest efficiency were share funds. The best funds, in terms of efficiency, were bond and money funds.
Research implications/limitations – The study was conducted on a limited number of funds, but this analysis can help take investment decisions.
Originality/value/contribution – In this study, the investment in investment funds is treated as a long-term project which expires after 25-30 years, and therefore it may be problematic to use standard methods of evaluation for the purpose of this paper. As a result, the NPV (Net Present Value) method was applied as a measure of the investment’s efficiency. In the literature, this approach to the evaluation of investment funds is unique.