Risk in New Sexual Relationships: Trajectories of Protection*

Figures & Tables

	Difference (Table 2)	Time (Table 3)	Protection (Table 3)	Duration (Table 4)
Perceived susceptibility	−	−	−	−
Trust	−	+	+	+/-
Drug use	−	+/-	+/-	+/-
Secondary partner	+	+	+	+/-
Power inequality	−	−	−	−

	Protection Trajectory
	Low	High	Declining	U-shaped
Evaluation of four-trajectory model
Size (percent)	9.8	63.2	15.3	11.6
Protection index mean (SD)	.15 (.19)	.94 (.11)	.80 (.28)	.66 (.33)
PP	.95	.76	.70	.73
OCC	185.2	1.9	13.0	20.9

	Low b (SE)	High b (SE)	Declining b (SE)	U-shaped b (SE)	Overall b (SE)
Initial predictors
Perc susceptibility	0.225(0.706)	0.021(0.206)	-0.967(2.601)	-1.188(0.907)	0.031(0.219)
Trust	-0.073(0.046)	-0.070(0.018)^**	0.118(0.248)	0.016(0.108)	-0.070(0.019)^**
Drug use	-0.132(0.525)	-0.259(0.132)^*	-2.048(1.311)	0.586(0.767)	-0.329(0.151)^*
Secondary partner	0.697(0.307)^*	0.213(0.096)^*	0.105(1.053)	-0.821(0.739)	0.126(0.108)
Power inequality	-0.043(0.359)	0.051(0.090)	-0.071(0.636)	-0.466(0.422)	0.025(0.100)
Time-varying predictors
Perc susceptibility					-0.044(0.047)
Trust					-0.007(0.005)
Drug use					-0.004(0.036)
Secondary partner					0.078(0.024)^**
Power inequality					-0.026(0.023)

Wave:	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	Total
Gender
Male	56	57	57	57	56	57	57	55	53	54	54	55	51	55
Female	44	43	43	43	44	43	43	45	47	46	46	45	49	45
Race
Black	55	58	59	59	60	61	59	58	57	59	59	59	59	58
Anglo	16	12	13	12	11	11	13	14	14	14	12	14	14	13
Hispanic	29	30	29	29	29	28	28	28	29	27	30	27	26	28
Age at baseline
18-30	11	9	8	9	8	8	7	9	7	9	8	6	6	8
31-40	33	31	33	31	33	29	28	28	30	26	22	25	24	29
41-50	38	43	39	40	39	44	43	39	39	42	44	45	43	41
51 and over	17	17	20	22	20	19	21	24	24	24	26	24	27	22
Employment
Unemployed	49	51	54	47	50	56	51	51	48	47	55	47	43	50
Odd jobs	12	8	9	15	10	9	17	14	22	16	16	19	16	14
Part time	10	12	13	18	12	13	11	14	11	15	10	13	20	13
Full time	30	30	24	21	28	22	21	21	19	22	20	21	20	23
Marital status at baseline
Never married	37	33	31	29	29	27	27	33	33	29	35	38	29	32
Married	15	13	13	17	16	17	17	14	12	14	12	14	14	15
Living as married	14	14	17	18	20	20	20	16	19	21	16	13	17	17
Separated	12	12	17	13	14	17	14	16	14	12	14	12	14	14
Divorced	18	23	18	17	15	14	16	14	15	15	16	14	17	16
Widowed	4	5	5	6	5	6	6	7	7	8	8	9	9	6
Drug use
None	14	14	13	12	14	15	15	16	17	19	18	18	16	16
Mari/alco only	14	17	19	19	16	19	16	16	21	16	16	13	20	17
Hard drugs	71	69	67	68	70	65	69	68	61	65	66	68	64	67
HIV status role
Role 1	12	12	12	12	12	12	12	12	12	12	12	12	12	12
Ever Role 2	43	43	43	43	43	43	43	43	43	43	43	43	43	43
Always Role 3	45	45	45	45	45	45	45	45	45	45	45	45	45	45
HIV status
HIV negative	88	88	90	91	90	89	91	90	90	89	90	91	91	90
HIV positive	12	12	10	9	10	11	9	10	10	11	10	9	9	10
Sample size	202	162	150	144	147	139	150	153	149	149	147	141	138	202

	All Participants		All Sex Partners		New Sex Partners
	N	%	N	%	N	%
Gender
Male	113	55.9	487	61.6	243	59.0
Female	89	44.1	303	38.4	169	41.0
Race/ethnicity
Black	111	55.0	430	54.5	220	53.5
White	33	16.3	180	22.8	112	27.3
Hispanic	58	28.7	174	22.1	78	19.0
Other			5	0.6	1	0.2
Age at baseline
18-30	24	11.9	181	22.9	113	27.5
31-40	67	33.2	284	35.9	148	35.9
41-50	77	38.1	221	28.0	111	26.9
51 and over	34	16.8	104	13.2	40	9.7
Marital status
Single	75	37.1
Married	59	29.2
Prev married	68	33.7
Employment status
Unemployed	98	48.5
Odd jobs	24	11.9
Part time	20	9.9
Full time	60	29.7
Drug user
No (nonuser)	33	16.3	328	41.5	160	38.8
Yes (drug user)	169	83.7	462	58.5	252	61.2
Sex behaviors (inferred sexual orientation)
No sex	12	5.9
Straight	146	72.3	680	86.1	345	83.7
Gay or bi	44	21.8	110	13.9	67	16.3
HIV status
HIV negative	177	87.6	701	88.7	366	88.8
HIV positive	25	12.4	89	11.3	46	11.2
Total N	202	100.0	790	100.0	412	100.0