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Forecasting the Territorial-Spatial Development of the System of Children’s Medical Complexes in Ukraine Cover

Forecasting the Territorial-Spatial Development of the System of Children’s Medical Complexes in Ukraine

By: Irina BULAKH  
Open Access
|Oct 2021

Figures & Tables

Figure 1.

Urban planning network of hospitals and outpatient facilities in Ukraine (Figure by the author of the paper)
Urban planning network of hospitals and outpatient facilities in Ukraine (Figure by the author of the paper)

Figure 2.

The model of children’s therapeutic complex, indicators of the number of doctors in the world, summarized actual and forecast data for forecasting the territorial and spatial development of the urban system of pediatric treatment facilities at the level of an urban network of primary care facilities (Figure by the author of the article)
The model of children’s therapeutic complex, indicators of the number of doctors in the world, summarized actual and forecast data for forecasting the territorial and spatial development of the urban system of pediatric treatment facilities at the level of an urban network of primary care facilities (Figure by the author of the article)

Figure 3.

The model of children’s therapeutic complex, indicators of the total number of hospital beds per 100,000 population in the world, summarized actual and forecast data for forecasting the territorial and spatial development of the urban system of pediatric treatment facilities at the level of an urban hospital network (Figure by the author of the paper)
The model of children’s therapeutic complex, indicators of the total number of hospital beds per 100,000 population in the world, summarized actual and forecast data for forecasting the territorial and spatial development of the urban system of pediatric treatment facilities at the level of an urban hospital network (Figure by the author of the paper)

Proposals of dynamic scenarios of the territorial and spatial development of pediatric treatment facilities at the national level of organization of the urban network of primary healthcare facilities

Name20302040205020602100
Population / optimistic (max) case42.0 million40.0 million38.3 million36.0 million37.5 million
Number of primary care physicians33 60032 00030 64028 80030 000
Population / optimal (opt) case 39.8 million 39.8 million 33.6 million 30.8 million 24.0 million
Number of primary care physicians 31 840 29 600 26 880 24 640 19 200
Population / pessimistic (min) case39.0 million36.0 million32.2 million27.0 million15.0 million
Number of primary care physicians31 20028 80025 76021 60012 000

Proposals for dynamic scenarios of the territorial and spatial development of pediatric treatment facilities at the national level of hospital urban networks organization of secondary and tertiary healthcare

Name20302040205020602100
Population / optimistic (max) case42.0 million40.0 million38.3 million36.0 million37.5 million
Total number of beds in hospitals221 340210 800201 841189 720197 625
Population / optimal (opt) case 39.8 million 37.0 million 33.6 million 30.8 million 24.0 million
Total number of beds in hospitals 209 746 194 990 177 072 162 316 126 480
Population / pessimistic (min) case39.0 million36.0 million32.2 million27.0 million15.0 million
Total number of beds in hospitals205 530189 720169 694142 29079 050
DOI: https://doi.org/10.21307/acee-2021-018 | Journal eISSN: 2720-6947 | Journal ISSN: 1899-0142
Language: English
Page range: 5 - 15
Submitted on: May 4, 2021
Accepted on: Sep 7, 2021
Published on: Oct 8, 2021
Published by: Silesian University of Technology
In partnership with: Paradigm Publishing Services
Publication frequency: 4 issues per year

© 2021 Irina BULAKH, published by Silesian University of Technology
This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 License.