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EX-ANTE ANALYSIS MODEL OF THE COST-EFFECTIVENESS OF ENVIRONMENTAL POLICY REGULATIONS Cover

EX-ANTE ANALYSIS MODEL OF THE COST-EFFECTIVENESS OF ENVIRONMENTAL POLICY REGULATIONS

Architecture, Civil Engineering, Environment
Volume 12 (2019): Issue 2 (June 2019)
By: Elzbieta BRONIEWICZ  
Open Access
|Aug 2019

Figures & Tables

Figure 1.

The use of ex-post and ex-ante analyses in environmental policy. Source: own elaboration based on [2]
The use of ex-post and ex-ante analyses in environmental policy. Source: own elaboration based on [2]

Figure 2.

The proposed model of ex-ante CEA of environmental policy. Source: own elaboration
The proposed model of ex-ante CEA of environmental policy. Source: own elaboration

Figure 3.

Forecasted value of gross cost efficiency in 2020 in period I (2002–2007) and period II (2008–2013) [million PLN/% emission reduction compared to the base year 1998], fixed costs in 2013. Source: own elaboration
Forecasted value of gross cost efficiency in 2020 in period I (2002–2007) and period II (2008–2013) [million PLN/% emission reduction compared to the base year 1998], fixed costs in 2013. Source: own elaboration

Figure 4.

The actual and projected value of the environmental effect in 2020 in period I (2002–2007) and period II (2008–2013) [percentage of emission reductions compared to the base year 1998]. Source: own elaboration
The actual and projected value of the environmental effect in 2020 in period I (2002–2007) and period II (2008–2013) [percentage of emission reductions compared to the base year 1998]. Source: own elaboration

The environmental effect

Detailed listYear of analysis
I period of analysis
200220032004200520062007
Environmental effect [% of CO2reduction]33.94530.75931.49631.71929.62731.634
II period of analysis
2008 2008 2008 2008 2008 2008
33.98833.98833.98833.98833.98833.988

The measures of matching and verification of linearised time series models of cost-effectiveness time series

SpecificationMeasurements of model fit and verification
R2 The standard error of estimationStatistics Fp
Gross Costs
The first period0.54211.9394.73510.0952
The second period0.55051.8514.89850.0912
Net costs
The first period0.54751.8704.84090.0926
The second period0.20951.9241.06030.3613

Cost-effectiveness of CO2 reduction measures in the years 2002–2013 [million PLN/percentage of CO2 emission reduction, related to the 1988 emission level], fixed prices in 2013

Analysis periodYearCost-effectiveness in relation to gross costsCost-effectiveness in relation to net costs
I period 200235.969335.1902
200341.506840.6470
200439.543438.7038
200539.376438.5426
200643.697642.6623
200740.301339.4591
II period200836.387335.6034
200936.599533.7905
201041.212538.1665
201142.350239.2228
201239.083736.0018
201340.616637.0052

The measures of verification and matching of single equation cost-effectiveness models

SpecificationThe Measurements of model fit and verification
R2 A standard error of estimationF statisticsp
The first period0.965240.3420641.6490.00648
The second period0.976120.2869427.2520.03560
DOI: https://doi.org/10.21307/acee-2019-028 | Journal eISSN: 2720-6947 | Journal ISSN: 1899-0142
Journal RSS Feed
Language: English
Page range: 119 - 130
Submitted on: Jan 18, 2019
|
Accepted on: Mar 27, 2019
|
Published on: Aug 6, 2019
Published by: Silesian University of Technology
In partnership with: Paradigm Publishing Services
Publication frequency: 4 issues per year
Keywords:
Cost-effectiveness analysis,
Environmental policy,
Model.
Related subjects:
Architecture and design,
Architecture,
Architects, buildings

© 2019 Elzbieta BRONIEWICZ, published by Silesian University of Technology
This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 License.

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