Have a personal or library account? Click to login
Some implications of behavioral finance for international monetary analysis Cover

Some implications of behavioral finance for international monetary analysis

Open Access
|Apr 2024

Abstract

This paper discusses some of the important insights from behavioral finance for international monetary and financial analysis. A broad approach to behavioral finance is advocated which includes analysis of the effects of uncertainty, perverse incentives, and complexity economics as well as the cognitive biases focused on in the initial contributions to behavioral finance. It offers reasons why capital mobility is often not perfect and expectations are sometimes not rational. Correctly interpreted it is not a wholesale attack on efficient market theory but rather argues that markets can behave differently at different times, being efficient sometimes and subject to destabilize or insufficiently stabilizing speculation at others and focuses on the conditions that make different types of behavior more likely. It helps provide insights into issues such as currency crisis, the effects of official intervention in foreign exchange markets, the international monetary trilemma, capital flow surges and reversals, the discipline effects of fixed exchange rates and international financial markets and why uncovered interest rate parity often does not hold.

DOI: https://doi.org/10.18559/ebr.2024.1.1193 | Journal eISSN: 2450-0097 | Journal ISSN: 2392-1641
Language: English
Page range: 7 - 29
Submitted on: Jan 10, 2024
Accepted on: Mar 5, 2024
Published on: Apr 10, 2024
Published by: Poznań University of Economics and Business Press
In partnership with: Paradigm Publishing Services
Publication frequency: 4 issues per year

© 2024 Thomas D. Willett, published by Poznań University of Economics and Business Press
This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.