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An analysis of causal relationship between economic growth and financial development for Turkey: A MODWT—Granger causality test Cover

An analysis of causal relationship between economic growth and financial development for Turkey: A MODWT—Granger causality test

By: Hayri Abar  
Open Access
|Oct 2022

Abstract

This study aims to investigate the relationship between financial development and economic growth in different time horizons for Turkey. In this study an ensemble of wavelet analysis and Granger causality test were used. PSC was used to represent financial development and GDP was used to represent growth. The annual data used are for the period 1961–2018. The result obtained for a one year period shows that the demand-following hypothesis is valid for Turkey. Financial development is the Granger cause of growth and positively affects growth. The financial sector should be supported for growth in the short term. While there is no causal relationship for the 2–4 year period, bidirectional causality relationships were determined for the periods of 4–8 years, 8–16 years and 16–32 years. Because variables are a Granger cause of each other and affect each other in a positive direction supporting the financial sector is a preferable policy when the purpose is to achieve growth in the long run.

DOI: https://doi.org/10.18559/ebr.2022.3.4 | Journal eISSN: 2450-0097 | Journal ISSN: 2392-1641
Language: English
Page range: 59 - 81
Submitted on: Nov 9, 2021
Accepted on: Sep 9, 2022
Published on: Oct 29, 2022
Published by: Poznań University of Economics and Business Press
In partnership with: Paradigm Publishing Services
Publication frequency: 4 issues per year

© 2022 Hayri Abar, published by Poznań University of Economics and Business Press
This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.