Fig. 1.

Existing agricultural construction infrastructure (National Statistics Office of Georgia, 2024; 2025)
| Agricultural construction infrastructure | Quantity |
|---|---|
| Grain and feed silos (Active elevators) | 39 |
| Cold store facilities | 387 |
| Storage chambers (Industrial customers served) | 30 |
| Livestock and poultry slaughterhouses | 131 |
| Total products stored in elevators (Thousand tons) | 464.5 |
| Total products stored in cold stores (Thousand tons) | 340.8 |
Infrastructure-related factors affecting agricultural system reliability (own research)
| Infrastructure element | Reliability-related importance |
|---|---|
| Grain and feed silos | Support the continuity and safety of grain and feed storage. |
| Cold storage facilities | Reduce losses of perishable products and help maintain product quality. |
| Storage chambers | Improve the efficiency and flexibility of agricultural product storage. |
| Livestock and poultry slaughterhouses | Support the continuity of processing and supply chain operations. |
| Irrigation and drainage systems | Increase resilience to droughts, floods and water-related production risks. |
Reliability of agricultural production in Georgia by region 2020–2024 (National Statistics Office of Georgia, 2024; 2026; National Bank of Georgia, 2026; World Bank, 2026; International Monetary Fund, 2026)
| # | Region | Years | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | Sum | ||
| 1 | Kakheti | ||||||
| GDP (Million GEL) | 41.5 | 34.6 | 39.4 | 34.5 | 33.1 | ||
| Dispersion ('000 GEL) | 0 | 6,9 | 2.1 | 7 | 8.4 | 24.4 | |
| Probability of Event | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.15 | 0.2 | 0.35 | ||
| Expected Value | 0 | 1.38 | 0.315 | 1.4 | 2.94 | 6.035 | |
| Reliability Index (P) | 0.85 | ||||||
| 2 | Kvemo (Lower) Kartli | ||||||
| GDP (Million GEL) | 19.5 | 16.4 | 14.4 | 15.5 | 14.1 | ||
| Dispersion ('000 GEL) | 0 | 3.1 | 5.1 | 4 | 5.4 | 17.6 | |
| Probability of Event | 0.1 | 0.15 | 0.25 | 0.25 | 0.25 | ||
| Expected Value | 0 | 0.465 | 1.275 | 1 | 1.35 | 4.09 | |
| Reliability Index (P) | 0.79 | ||||||
| 3 | Imereti (Western Georgia) | ||||||
| GDP (Million GEL) | 15.7 | 13.2 | 11.2 | 119 | 11.4 | ||
| Dispersion ('000 GEL) | 0 | 2.5 | 4.5 | 3.8 | 4.3 | 15.1 | |
| Probability of Event | 0.1 | 0.15 | 0.25 | 0.25 | 0.25 | ||
| Expected Value | 0 | 0.375 | 1.125 | 0.95 | 1.075 | 3.525 | |
| Reliability Index (P) | 0.78 | ||||||
| 4 | Mtskheta-Mtianeti (Eastern Georgia) | ||||||
| GDP (Million GEL) | 8.2 | 8.9 | 7.6 | 6.9 | 5,4 | ||
| Dispersion ('000 GEL) | 0.7 | 0 | 1.3 | 2 | 3.5 | 7.5 | |
| Probability of Event | 0.15 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.25 | 0.3 | ||
| Expected Value | 0.105 | 0 | 0,26 | 0.5 | 1.05 | 1.915 | |
| Reliability Index (P) | 0.78 | ||||||
| 5 | Shida (Inner) Kartli (Eastern Georgia) | ||||||
| GDP (Million GEL) | 26 | 23.7 | 20.6 | 18.6 | 16.9 | ||
| Dispersion ('000 GEL) | 0 | 2.3 | 5.4 | 7.4 | 9.1 | 24.2 | |
| Probability of Event | 0.1 | 0.15 | 0.2 | 0.25 | 0.3 | ||
| Expected Value | 0 | 0.345 | 1.08 | 1.85 | 2.73 | 6.005 | |
| Reliability Index (P) | 0.77 | ||||||
| 6 | Samtskhe-Javakheti (Southern Georgia) | ||||||
| GDP (Million GEL) | 22.5 | 20.9 | 24 | 22.6 | 17.7 | ||
| Dispersion ('000 GEL) | 1.5 | 3.1 | 0 | 1.4 | 6.3 | 12.3 | |
| Probability of Event | 0.15 | 0.25 | 0.1 | 0.15 | 0.35 | ||
| Expected Value | 0.225 | 0,775 | 0 | 0,21 | 2,205 | 3,415 | |
| Reliability Index (P) | 0,86 | ||||||
| 7 | Racha-Lechkhumi and Kvemo (Lower) Svaneti (Northwestern Georgia) | ||||||
| GDP (Million GEL) | 20 | 14,1 | 16,9 | 14,4 | 12,1 | ||
| Dispersion ('000 GEL) | 0 | 5,9 | 3,1 | 5,6 | 7,9 | 22,5 | |
| Probability of Event | 0,1 | 0,2 | 0,15 | 0,2 | 0,35 | ||
| Expected Value | 0 | 1.18 | 0.465 | 1.12 | 2.765 | 5.53 | |
| Reliability Index (P) | 0.72 | ||||||
| 8 | Samegrelo (Western Georgia) | ||||||
| GDP (Million GEL) | 18.3 | 17.6 | 14.6 | 13.3 | 13.1 | ||
| Dispersion ('000 GEL) | 0 | 0.7 | 3.7 | 5 | 5.2 | 14.6 | |
| Probability of Event | 0.1 | 0.15 | 0,2 | 0.25 | 0,3 | ||
| Expected Value | 0 | 0.105 | 0.74 | 1.25 | 1.56 | 0.655 | |
| Reliability Index (P) | 0.8 | ||||||
| 9 | Guria (Western Georgia) | ||||||
| GDP (Million GEL) | 18.4 | 17.1 | 17.2 | 14.7 | 15.3 | ||
| Dispersion ('000 GEL) | 0 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 3.7 | 3.1 | 9.3 | |
| Probability of Event | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.15 | 0.25 | 0.3 | ||
| Expected Value | 0 | 0.26 | 0.18 | 0.925 | 0.93 | 2.295 | |
| Reliability Index (P) | 0.88 | ||||||
| 10 | Adjara | ||||||
| GDP (Million GEL) | 5.1 | 4,8 | 3.7 | 3.7 | 2,5 | ||
| Dispersion ('000 GEL) | 0 | 0.3 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 2.6 | 5.7 | |
| Probability of Event | 0.1 | 0.15 | 0,2 | 0.25 | 0,3 | ||
| Expected Value | 0 | 0,045 | 0,28 | 0.35 | 0,78 | 1.455 | |
| Reliability Index (P) | 0,71 | ||||||