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Effects of oil shocks on EMU exports: technological level differences Cover

Effects of oil shocks on EMU exports: technological level differences

Open Access
|Dec 2017

Abstract

This article provides some new empirical perspectives on the relationship between oil-market fluctuations and technological structure of EMU export. We rely on a time-varying parameter VAR model to capture the reaction of different technological structures of EMU export to various oil-market innovations in the period 2002-2015. Our results can be summarized as follows: (1) increase in crude oil production is likely to reduce oil prices and therefore increases all EMU exports due to lower production and transportation costs; (2) increase in global demand is more likely to be transmitted to goods with higher added value; (3) high-tech exports decrease in the first months after the global demand shock as a result of a delayed investment decision process; (4) increasing oil prices yield only marginal effect on EMU export.

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1515/revecp-2017-0021 | Journal eISSN: 1804-1663 | Journal ISSN: 1213-2446
Language: English
Page range: 399 - 423
Submitted on: Mar 14, 2017
Accepted on: Oct 18, 2017
Published on: Dec 21, 2017
Published by: Mendel University in Brno
In partnership with: Paradigm Publishing Services
Publication frequency: 2 issues per year

© 2017 Martin Hodula, Bohdan Vahalík, published by Mendel University in Brno
This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 License.