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Empirical Evaluation of the Fiscal Position in Serbia Cover

Empirical Evaluation of the Fiscal Position in Serbia

Open Access
|Jul 2016

Abstract

The paper evaluates the size of the cyclical and structural components of the fiscal deficit of the Republic of Serbia for the period from the first quarter of 2002 to the second quarter of 2014. The method of the European Central Bank was used, where it is assumed that cyclically sensitive elements of state are budget income tax, profit tax, value added tax on the value, excises, social security contributions and unemployment benefits. Elasticity of cyclically sensitive elements relative to their macroeconomic bases are estimated using the VEC model with error correction. The results suggest that automatic stabilizers generally played a more prominent role than consistent countercyclical discretionary fiscal policy, which means that the discretionary measures were late or were not well targeted.

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1515/ethemes-2016-0011 | Journal eISSN: 2217-3668 | Journal ISSN: 0353-8648
Language: English
Page range: 217 - 232
Submitted on: Jan 26, 2016
Accepted on: May 18, 2016
Published on: Jul 26, 2016
Published by: University of Niš, Faculty of Economics
In partnership with: Paradigm Publishing Services
Publication frequency: 4 issues per year

© 2016 Jadranka Đurović-Todorović, Marija Vuković, published by University of Niš, Faculty of Economics
This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 License.