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Patterns of Structural Change in the New EU Member States Cover

Patterns of Structural Change in the New EU Member States

By: Peter Havlik  
Open Access
|Oct 2015

Abstract

This paper analyses the extent and impact of structural changes on aggregate economic growth that occurred in European economies during the past two decades, focusing on the new EU Member States of Central and Eastern Europe. After presenting some stylised facts related to employment and output restructuring, we use a conventional shift and share analysis in order to evaluate the impact of broader sectoral shifts on GDP growth, focusing on the period 1995–2011. A decomposition of aggregate GDP/GVA growth using the shift and share analysis shows a distinct North-South pattern of growth and restructuring while the previous NMS-OMS divisions are becoming less relevant. In the North, manufacturing and trade have fuelled growth whereas in the South there has been much less structural change. Apart from these differences, our results partly differ from earlier findings of similar analyses for the NMS. Finally, we analyse differentiated impacts of the recent (2008–2011) crisis on structural changes in Europe and find interesting similarities between (groups of) NMS and OMS in terms of both growth patterns and responses to the crisis.

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1515/danb-2015-0009 | Journal eISSN: 1804-8285 | Journal ISSN: 1804-6746
Language: English
Page range: 133 - 157
Published on: Oct 20, 2015
Published by: European Association Comenius - EACO
In partnership with: Paradigm Publishing Services
Publication frequency: 4 issues per year

© 2015 Peter Havlik, published by European Association Comenius - EACO
This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.