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Non-Linearity and Non-Stationarity of Exchange Rate Time Series in Three Central-Eastern European Countries Regarding the CHF Currency in 2014 and 2015 Cover

Non-Linearity and Non-Stationarity of Exchange Rate Time Series in Three Central-Eastern European Countries Regarding the CHF Currency in 2014 and 2015

Open Access
|Dec 2016

Abstract

Our paper deals with the consequences of the Swiss National Bank’s decision in January 2015 related to the CHF/EUR exchange rate regarding the non-linearity of the RON/CHF, HUF/CHF, and PLN/CHF exchange rate time series. The analysis focuses on the 2014 and 2015 years, respectively, using the daily data of the three national banks. Starting out from the conventional unit root tests (ADF, PP, and KPSS), we complete our analysis with the usage of the Threshold Autoregression model (TAR) recommended by Caner and Hansen (2001), testing the non-stationarity and nonlinearity.

Language: English
Page range: 33 - 41
Published on: Dec 28, 2016
In partnership with: Paradigm Publishing Services
Publication frequency: 1 issue per year

© 2016 Szilárd Madaras, Lehel Györfy, published by Sapientia Hungarian University of Transylvania
This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 3.0 License.