Climatic response to anthropogenic sulphate aerosols versus well-mixed greenhouse gases from 1850 to 2000 AD in CLIMBER-2

Eva Bauer; Vladimir Petoukhov; Andrey Ganopolski; Alexey V. Eliseev

doi:10.1111/j.1600-0889.2007.00318.x

Climatic response to anthropogenic sulphate aerosols versus well-mixed greenhouse gases from 1850 to 2000 AD in CLIMBER-2

Tellus B: Chemical and Physical Meteorology

Volume 60 (2008): Issue 1

By: Eva Bauer, Vladimir Petoukhov, Andrey Ganopolski and Alexey V. Eliseev

Open Access

|Jan 2008

Abstract

The Earth system model CLIMBER-2 is extended by a scheme for calculating the climatic response to anthropogenic sulphur dioxide emissions. The scheme calculates the direct radiative forcing, the first indirect cloud albedo effect, and the second indirect cloud lifetime effect induced by geographically resolved sulphate aerosol burden. The simulated anthropogenic sulphate aerosol burden in the year 2000 amounts to 0.47 TgS. The best guesses for the radiative forcing due to the direct effect are -0.4 Wm^-2 and for the decrease in short-wave radiation due to all aerosol effects -0.8 Wm^-2. The simulated global warming by 1 K from 1850 to 2000 caused by anthropogenic greenhouse gases reduces to 0.6 K when the sulphate aerosol effects are included. The model’s hydrological sensitivity of 4%/K is decreased by the second indirect effect to 0.8%/K. The quality of the geographically distributed climatic response to the historic emissions of sulphur dioxide and greenhouse gases makes the extended model relevant to computational efficient investigations of future climate change scenarios.

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Articles in this issue

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1600-0889.2007.00318.x | Journal eISSN: 1600-0889

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Language: English

Page range: 82 - 97

Submitted on: Apr 3, 2007

Accepted on: Aug 6, 2007

Published on: Jan 1, 2008

Published by: Stockholm University Press

In partnership with: Paradigm Publishing Services

© 2008 Eva Bauer, Vladimir Petoukhov, Andrey Ganopolski, Alexey V. Eliseev, published by Stockholm University Press
This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

Volume 60 (2008): Issue 1