Skip to main content
Have a personal or library account? Click to login
Sensitivity of summer 2-m temperature to sea ice conditions Cover

Sensitivity of summer 2-m temperature to sea ice conditions

Open Access
|Jan 2011

References

  1. Anderson , D. , Stockdale , T. , Balmaseda , M. , Ferranti , L. , Vitart , F. and co-authors . 2006 . Seasonal Forecast System 3. ECMWF Newsletter , 19 - 25 .
  2. Balmaseda , M. , Freeanti , L. , Molteni , F. and Palmer , T. N . 2009 . Impact of 2007 and 2008 Arctic Ice Anomalies on the Atmospheric Circulation: Implications for Long-Range Predictions. Technical Memorandum 595. ECMWF , http://www.ecmwf.int/publications/library/do/references/list/show?id=89212 .
  3. Balmaseda , M. A. , Vidard , A. and Anderson , D. L. T . 2007 . The ECMWF System 3 ocean analysis system . Technical Memorandum 508. ECMWF.
  4. Balmaseda , M. A. , Ferranti , L. , Molteni , F. and Palmer , T. N . 2010 . Impact of 2007 and 2008 Arctic ice anomalies on the atmo-spheric circulation: implications for long-range predictions. QJRMS , 10.1002/qj.661 .
  5. Benestad , R. E . 2005 . On Latitudinal Profiles of Zonal Means. Geophys. Res. Lett . 32 , 10.1029/2005GL023652 .
  6. Benestad , R. E . 2006 . Can we expect more extreme precipitation on the monthly time scale? J. Clim . 19 , 630 637 .
  7. Benestad , R. E. and Chen , D . 2006 . The use of a Calculus-based Cy-clone Identification method for generating storm statistics . Tellus , 58A , 473 486 , 10.1111/j.1600-0870.2006.00191.x .
  8. Benestad , R. E. , Hanssen-Bauer , I. and Forland , E . J . 2002 . Empirically downscaled temperature scenarios for Svalbard. Atm. Sci. Lett., 3, Issue 2-4 , 10.1006/asle.2002 . 0051 , 71 - 93 .
  9. Derome , J. , Brunet , G. , Plante , A. , Gagnon , N. , Boer , G. J. and co-authors. 2001. Seasonal Predictions Based on Two Dynamical Mod-els. Atm.-Ocean , 39 ( 4 ), 485 - 501 .
  10. Deser , C. , Magnusdottir , G. , Saravanan , R. and Phillips , A . 2004 . The effects of North Atlantic SST and Sea Ice Anomalies on the Winter Circulation in CCM3. Part II: direct and indirect components of the response . J. Clim . 17 , 877 889 .
  11. Dix , M. R. and Hunt , B. G . 1995 . Chaotic influences and the problem of deterministic seasonal predictions . Int. J. Climatol . 15 ( 7 ), 729 752 .
  12. Doblas-Reyes , F. J. , Hagedorn , R. and Palmer , T. N . 2007 . Develop-ments in dynamical seasonal forecasting relevant to agricultural man-agement . Clim. Res . 33 , 19 26 .
  13. Francis , J. A. , Chan , W. , Leathers , D. J. , Miller , J. R. and Veron , D. E. 2009 . Winter Northern Hemisphere weather patterns remem-ber summer Arctic sea ice extent. Geophys. Res. Lett. 36, L07503 10.1029/2009GL037274 .
  14. Hill , T. and Lewicici , P . 2005 . Statistics: Methods and Applications : A Comprehensive Reference for Science , Industry, and Data Mining. Tulsa, OK, USA : StatSoft .
  15. Holland , M. M. , bitz , C. M. and Tremblay , B . 2006 . Future abrupt reductions in the summer Arctic sea ice . Geophys. Res. Lett . 33 , L23503 , 10.1029/2006GL028024 .
  16. Johansson , A . 2007 . Prediction skill of the NAO and PNA from Daily to Seasonal Time Scales . J. Clim . 20 , 1957 1975 .
  17. Kauker , F. , Kaminski , T. , Karcher , M. , Giering , R. , Gerdes , R. and co-authors . 2009 . Adjoint analysis of the 2007 all time Arctic sea-ice min-imum. Geophys. Res. Lett . 36 , L03707 , 10.1029/2008GL036323 .
  18. Kundzewicz , Z. W. , Mata , L. J. , Arnell , N. , Doll , P. , Kabat , P. and co-authors . 2007 . Climate Change: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerabilit . Contribution of Working Group II to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge Univer-sity Press, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA.
  19. Lorenz , E . 1967 . The Nature and Theory of the General Circulation of the Atmosphere . Publication 218. World Meteorological Organization, Geneva, Switzerland.
  20. Magnusdottir , G. , Deser , C. and Saravanan , R . 2004 . The Effects of North Atlantic SST and Sea Ice Anomalies on the Winter Circulation in CCM3. Part I:Main Features and Storm Track Characteristics of the Response . J. Clim . 17 , 857 875 .
  21. Meehl , G. A. , Stocker , T. F. , Idlingstein , W. D. , Gaye , A. T. , Gre-gory , J. M. , Kitoh , A. , Knutti , R. , Murphy , J. M. , Noda , A. , Raper , S. C. B. , Watterson , I. G. , Weaver , A. J. , Zhao , Z.-C . 2007 . Climate Change: The Physical Science Basis. Chap. Global Climate Projections. United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA. Cambridge University Press.
  22. Melsom , A . 2009 . Ocean sea ice atmosphere heat fluxes over the Arctic Ocean . Note 14/2009. met.no, http://met.no/Forskning/Publilcasjoner_2009.
  23. Overland , J. E. and Wang , M . 2010 . Large-scale atmospheric circulation changes are associated with the recent loss of Arctic sea ice . Tellus A . 62 , 1 9 .
  24. Persson , A. and Grazzini , F . 2005 . User Guide to ECMWF forecast products . Meteorological Bulletin M3.2. ECMWF, www.ecmwtint/products/forecasts/guide/user_guide.pdf.
  25. RDevelopment Core Team . 2004 . R: A language and environment for statistical computing . R Foundation for Statistical Computing, Vienna, Austria. ISBN 3-900051-07-0.
  26. Reynolds , R. W. , Rayner , N. R. , Smith , T. M. , Stokes , D. C. and Wang , W . 2002 . An improved in situ and satellite SST analysis for climate . J. Clim . 15 , 1609 1625 .
  27. Rowell , D. P . 1998 . Assessing Potential Seasonal Predictability with an Ensemble of Multidecadal GCM Simulations . J. Clim . 11 , 109 120 .
  28. Seierstad , I. A. and Bader , J . 2008 . Impact of a projected future Arctic Sea Ice reduction on extratropical storminess and the NAO . Clim. Dynam . 33 , 937 943 .
  29. Senan , R. and Benestad , R. E . 2009 . Transitional irregularity in sea surface temperature from the ECMWF operational ocean analysis. Note 22. met.no, www.met.no.
  30. Serreze , M. C. , Barrett , A. P. , Stroeve , J. C. , Kindig , D. N. and Holland , M. M . 2009 . The emergence of surface-based Arctic amplification . The Ciyosphere 3 , 11 19 10.5194/tc-3-11-2009 .
  31. Singarayer , J. S. , Bamber , J. L. and Valdes , P. J . 2006 . Twenty-first-Century Impacts from a Declining Arctic Sea Ice Cover . J. Clim . 19 , 1109 1125 .
  32. Sivakumar , M. V. K . 2007 . climate prediction and agriculture: current status and future challenges . Clim. Res . 33 , 3 17 .
  33. Sorteberg , A. and Kvingedal , B . 2006 . Atmospheric Forcing on the Barents Sea Winter Ice Extent . J. Clim . 19 , 4772 4784 .
  34. Stockdale , T. N. , Anderson , D. L. T. , Alves , J. O. S. and Balmaseda , M. A. 1998. Global seasonal rainfall forecasts using a coupled ocean-atmosphere model. Nature 392 , 370 - 373 .
  35. Stroeve , J. , Holland , M. M. , Meier , W. , Scambos , T. and Serreze , M . 2007 . Artie sea ice decline: Faster than forecast . Geophys. Res. Lett . 34 , L09501 10.1029/3007GL029703 .
  36. Stroeve , J. , Serreze , M. , Drobot , S. , Gearheard , S. , Holland , M. and co-authors . 2008 . Arctic Sea Ice Extent Plummets in 2007. Eos 89 ( 2 ), 13 - 14 .
  37. Wilkinson , G. N. and Rogers , C. E . 1973 . Symbolic Description of Factorial Models for Analysis of Variance . AppL StaL 22 , 392 399 .
  38. Wilks , D. S . 2006 . On “Field Significance” and the False Discovery Rate J. Appl. MeteoroL ClimatoL 45 , 1181 - 1189 10.1175/JAM2404.1 .
  39. Willcs , D. S . 1995 . Statistical Methods in the Atmospheric Sciences . Orlando, Florida, USA , Academic Press .
  40. Yan , Z. , Bate , S. , Chandler , R. E. , Isham , V. and Wheater , H . 2006 . Changes in extreme wind speeds in NW Europe simulated by generalized linear models . Theoret. AppL Climatol . 83 , 121 137 .
Language: English
Page range: 324 - 337
Submitted on: Jan 11, 2009
Accepted on: Sep 20, 2010
Published on: Jan 1, 2011
Published by: Stockholm University Press
In partnership with: Paradigm Publishing Services

© 2011 R. E. Benestad, R. Senan, M. Balmaseda, L. Ferranti, Y. Orsolini, A. Melsom, published by Stockholm University Press
This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.