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Comparison of equilibrium and transient responses to CO2 increase in eight state-of-the-art climate models Cover

Comparison of equilibrium and transient responses to CO2 increase in eight state-of-the-art climate models

Open Access
|Jan 2008

Abstract

We compared the climate response of doubled CO2 equilibrium experiments (2 × CO2) by atmosphere—slab ocean coupled general circulation models (ASGCMs) and that of 1% per year CO2 increase experiments (1%CO2 by atmosphere—ocean coupled general circulation models (AOGCMs) using eight state-of-the-art climate models. Climate feedback processes in 2 × CO2 are different from those in 1%CO2, and the equilibrium climate sensitivity (T2×) in 2 × CO2 is different from the effective climate sensitivity (T2×, eff) in 1%CO2. The difference between T2× and T2×, eff is from −1.3 to 1.6 K, a large part of which can be explained by the difference in the ice-albedo and cloud feedback. The largest contribution is cloud SW feedback, and the difference in cloud SW feedback for 2 ×CO2 and 1%CO2 could be determined by the distribution of the SAT anomaly which causes differences in the atmospheric thermal structure. An important factor which determines the difference in ice-albedo feedback is the initial sea ice distribution at the Southern Ocean, which is generally overestimated in 2 ×CO2 as compared to 1%CO2 and observation. Through the comparison of climate feedback processes in 2 ×CO2 and 1%CO2, the possible behaviour of the time evolution of T2×, eff is discussed.

Language: English
Page range: 946 - 961
Submitted on: Oct 10, 2007
Accepted on: Jun 3, 2008
Published on: Jan 1, 2008
Published by: Stockholm University Press
In partnership with: Paradigm Publishing Services

© 2008 Tokuta Yokohata, Seita Emori, Toru Nozawa, Tomoo Ogura, Michio Kawamiya, Yoko Tsushima, Tatsuo Suzuki, Seiji Yukimoto, Ayako Abe-Ouchi, Hiroyasu Hasumi, Akimasa Sumi, Masahide Kimoto, published by Stockholm University Press
This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.