Correlation properties of daily temperature anomalies over land

Andrea Király; Imre Bartos; Imre M. Jánosi

doi:10.1111/j.1600-0870.2006.00195.x

Correlation properties of daily temperature anomalies over land

Tellus

Volume 58 (2006): Issue 5

By: Andrea Király, Imre Bartos and Imre M. Jánosi

Open Access

|Jan 2006

Abstract

Several thousands of temperature records from the Global Daily Climatology Network are analysed by means of detrended fluctuation analysis (DFA). Long-range temporal power-law correlations extending up to several years are detected for each station. Contrary to earlier claims, the correlation exponent is not universal for continental locations. Short-range correlations are also evaluated by DFA and by first order autoregressive models. The strength of short- and long-range temporal correlations seems to be coupled for large geographic areas. The spatial patterns are quite complex, simple parameter dependence such as elevation or distance from oceans cannot explain the observed variability.

References

Bartos , I. and Janosi , I. M. 2005 . Atmospheric response function over land: Strong asymmetries in daily temperature fluctuations . Geophys. Res. Lett . 32 , L23820 .
Search in Google Scholar Back to article
Blender , R. and Fraedrich , K. 2003 . Long time memory in global warm-ing simulations . Geophys. Res. Lett . 30 , L1769 .
Search in Google Scholar Back to article
Blender , R. and Fraedrich , K. 2004 . Comment on ‘Volcanic forcing im-proves atmosphere-ocean coupled general circulation model scaling performance’ by D. Vyushin , I. Zhidkov , S. Havlin , A. Bunde , and S. Brenner . Geophys. Res. Lett . 31 , L22213 .
Search in Google Scholar Back to article
Bunde , A. , Eichner , J. E , Havlin , S. , Koscielny-Bunde , E. , Schellnhuber , H. J. and co-author. 2004 . Comment on Scaling of atmosphere and ocean temperature correlations in observations and climate models. Phys. Rev. Lett . 92 , 039801 .
Search in Google Scholar Back to article
Caballero , R. , Jewson , S. and Brix , A. 2002 . Long memory in surface air temperature: detection, modeling, and application to weather deriva-tive valuation . Clim. Res . 21 , 127 – 140 .
Search in Google Scholar Back to article
Chen , Z. , Ivanov , P. C. , Hu , K. and Stanley , H. E. 2002 . Effect of nonsta-tionarities on detrended fluctuation analysis . Phys. Rev. E 65 , 041107 .
Search in Google Scholar Back to article
Chen , Z. , Hu , K. , Carpena , P. , Bemaola-Galvan , P. , Stanley , H. E. and co-authors. 2005. Effect of nonlinear filters on detrended fluctuation analysis . Phys. Rev. E 71 , 011104 .
Search in Google Scholar Back to article
Eichner , J. E , Koscielny-Bunde , E. , Bunde , A. , Havlin , S. and Schellnhuber , H. J. 2003 . Power-law persistence and trends in the atmosphere: A detailed study of long temperature records . Phys. Rev. E 68 , 046133 .
Search in Google Scholar Back to article
Fraedrich , K. and Blender , R. 2003 . Scaling of atmosphere and ocean temperature correlations in observations and climate models . Phys. Rev. Lett . 90 , 108501 .
Search in Google Scholar Back to article
Fraedrich , K. , Luksch , U. and Blender , R. 2004a . 1/f model for long-time memory of the ocean surface temperature . Phys. Rev. E 70 , 037301 .
Search in Google Scholar Back to article
Fraedrich , K. and Blender , R. 2004b . Reply to the comment on scaling of atmosphere and ocean temperature correlations in observations and climate models . Phys. Rev. Lett . 92 , 039802 .
Search in Google Scholar Back to article
Govindan , R.B. , Vyushin , D. , Bunde , A. , Brenner , S. , Havlin S. , and co-authors . 2002. Global climate models violate scaling of the observed atmospheric variability. Phys. Rev. Lett . 89,028501 .
Search in Google Scholar Back to article
Heneghan , C. and McDarby , G. 2000 . Establishing the relation between detrended fluctuation analysis and power spectral density analysis for stochastic processes . Phys. Rev. E 62 , 6103 – 6110 .
Search in Google Scholar Back to article
Hu , K. , Ivanov , P. C. , Chen , Z. , Carpena , P. and Stanley , H. E. 2001 . Effect of trends on detrended fluctuation analysis . Phys. Rev. E 64 , 011114 .
Search in Google Scholar Back to article
Kantelhardt , J. W. , Koscielny-Bunde , E. , Rego , H. H. A. , Havlin , S. and Bunde , A. 2001 . Detecting long-range correlations with detrended fluctuation analysis. Physica A , 295 , 441 – 454 .
Search in Google Scholar Back to article
Király , A. and Janosi , I. M. 2002 . Stochastic modeling of daily temper-ature fluctuations . Phys. Rev. E 65 , 051102 .
Search in Google Scholar Back to article
Király , A. and Janosi , I. M. 2005 . Detrended fluctuation analysis of daily temperature records: Geographic dependence over Australia . Meteorol. Atmos. Phys . 88 , 119 – 128 .
Search in Google Scholar Back to article
Koscielny-Bunde , E. , Bunde , A. , Havlin , S. , Roman , H. E. , Goldreich , Y. and co-authors . 1998 . Indication of universal persistence law gov-erning atmospheric variability. Phys. Rev. Lett . 81 , 729 – 732 .
Search in Google Scholar Back to article
Kurnaz , M. L. 2004a . Application of detrended fluctuation analysis to monthly average of the maximum daily temperatures to resolve dif-ferent climates . Fractals 12 , 365 – 373 .
Search in Google Scholar Back to article
Kurnaz , M. L. 2004b . Detrended fluctuation analysis as a statistical tool to monitor the climate./ . Stat. Mech.: Theor. Exp . 2004 , P07009 .
Search in Google Scholar Back to article
Monetti , R. A. , Havlin , S. and Bunde , A. 2003 . Long term persistence in the sea surface temperature fluctuations . Physica A 320 , 581 – 589 .
Search in Google Scholar Back to article
Müller , R. and linosi , I. M . 2005 . Empirical mode decomposition and correlation properties of long daily ozone records . Phys. Rev. E 71 , 056126 .
Search in Google Scholar Back to article
Pattantris-Ábrahám , M., Kiraly , A. and linosi , I. M. 2004 . Nonuniver-sal atmospheric persistence: different scaling of daily minimum and maximum temperatures. Phys. Rev. E 69 , 021110 .
Search in Google Scholar Back to article
Pelletier , J. D. 1997 . Analysis and modeling of the natural variability of climate. J. Climate 10 , 1331 – 1342 .
Search in Google Scholar Back to article
Peng , C. K. , Buldyrev , S. V. , Havlin , S. , Simons , M. , Stanley , H. E. and co-authors. 1994 . Mosaic organization of DNA nucleotides . Phys. Rev. E 49 , 1685 – 1689 .
Search in Google Scholar Back to article
Peng , C. K. , Havlin , S. , Stanley , H. E. and Goldberger , A. L. 1995 . Quantification of scaling exponents and crossover phenomena in non-stationary heartbeat time series . Chaos 5 , 82 – 87 .
Search in Google Scholar Back to article
Syroka , J. and Toumi , R. 2001 . Scaling and persistence in observed and modeled surface temperature. Geophys. Res. Lett . 28 , 3255 – 3258 .
Search in Google Scholar Back to article
Talkner , P. and Weber , R. 0. 2000 . Power spectrum and detrended fluc-tuation analysis: application to daily temperatures . Phys. Rev. E 62 , 150 – 160 .
Search in Google Scholar Back to article
Tsonis , A. A. , Roebber , P. J. and Elsner , J. B. 1999 . Long-range corre-lations in the extratropical atmospheric circulation: Origin and impli-cations. J. Climate 12 , 1534 – 1541 .
Search in Google Scholar Back to article
von Storch , H. and Zwiers , E W. 1999 . Statistical Analysis in Climate Research . Cambridge University Press , Cambridge .
Search in Google Scholar Back to article
Vyushin , D. , Zhidkov , I. , Havlin , S. , Bunde , A. and Brenner , S. 2004a. Volcanic forcing improves atmosphere-ocean coupled gen-eral circulation model scaling performance. Geophys. Res. Lett . 31 , L10206 .
Search in Google Scholar Back to article
Vyushin , D. , Zhidkov , I. , Havlin , S. , Bunde , A. and Brenner , S. 2004b. Reply to comment by R. Blender and K. Fraedrich on ‘Volcanic forc-ing improves atmosphere-ocean coupled general circulation model scaling performance’. Geophys. Res. Lett . 31 , L22210 .
Search in Google Scholar Back to article
Weber , R. O. and Talkner , P . 2001 . Spectra and correlations of cli-mate data from days to decades. J. Geophys. Res. D 106 , 20131 – 20 144 .
Search in Google Scholar Back to article
Xu , L. M. , Ivanov , P. C. , Hu , K. , Chen , Z. , Carbone , A. and Stanley , H. E. 2005 . Quantifying signals with power-law correlations: A comparative study of detrended fluctuation analysis and detrended moving average techniques . Phys. Rev. E 71 , 051101 .
Search in Google Scholar Back to article

Articles in this issue

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1600-0870.2006.00195.x | Journal eISSN: 3035-9554

Journal RSS Feed

Language: English

Page range: 593 - 600

Submitted on: Feb 8, 2006

Accepted on: May 15, 2006

Published on: Jan 1, 2006

Published by: Stockholm University Press

In partnership with: Paradigm Publishing Services

© 2006 Andrea Király, Imre Bartos, Imre M. Jánosi, published by Stockholm University Press
This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

Volume 58 (2006): Issue 5