Estimation of observation errors for large-scale atmospheric inversion of CO2 emissions from fossil fuel combustion
References
-
Andres
, R. J., Marland, G., Fung, I.and Matthews, E.. A 1°×1° distribution of carbon dioxide emissions from fossil fuel consumption and cement manufacture, 1950–1990. Global Biogeochem. Cycles, 419– 429. -
Andres
, R. J., Boden, T. A., Bréon, F. M., Ciais, P., Davis, S.and co-authors. 2012. A synthesis of carbon dioxide emissions from fossil-fuel combustion. Biogeosciences, 1845– 1871. -
Andres
, R. J., Boden, T. A.and Higdon, D.. A new evaluation of the uncertainty associated with CDIAC estimates of fossil fuel carbon dioxide emission. Tellus B, 23616 . -
Ballantyne
, A. P., Andres, R., Houghton, R., Stocker, B. D., Wanninkhof, R.and co-authors. 2015. Audit of the global carbon budget: estimate errors and their impact on uptake uncertainty. Biogeosciences, 2565– 2584. -
Basu
, S., Miller, J. B.and Lehman, S.. Separation of biospheric and fossil fuel fluxes of CO2 by atmospheric inversion of CO2 and 14CO2 measurements: observation system simulations. Atmos. Chem. Phys. Discuss., 1– 34. -
Berrisford
, P., Dee, D., Fielding, K., Fuentes, M., Kallberg, P.and co-authors. 2009. The ERA-Interim Archive. ERA Report Series, Reading, pp. 1–16 . -
Bocquet
, M., Wu, L.and Chevallier, F.. Bayesian design of control space for optimal assimilation of observations. Part I: consistent multiscale formalism. Q. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 1340– 1356. -
Bousquet
, P., Peylin, P., Ciais, P., Le Quéré, C., Friedlingstein, P.and co-authors. 2000. Regional changes in carbon dioxide fluxes of land and oceans since 1980. Science, 1342– 1346. -
Bozhinova
, D., van der Molen, M. K., Krol, M. C., van der Laan, S., Meijer, H. A. J.and co-authors. 2013. Simulating the integrated Δ14CO2 signature from anthropogenic emissions over Western Europe. Atmos. Chem. Phys. Discuss., 30611– 30652. -
Bréon
, F. M., Broquet, G., Puygrenier, V., Chevallier, F., Xueref-Remy, I.and co-authors. 2015. An attempt at estimating Paris area CO2 emissions from atmospheric concentration measurements. Atmos. Chem. Phys., 1707– 1724. -
Brioude
, J., Petron, G., Frost, G. J., Ahmadov, R., Angevine, W. M.and co-authors. 2012. A new inversion method to calculate emission inventories without a prior at mesoscale: application to the anthropogenic CO2 emission from Houston, Texas. J. Geophys. Res., D05312 . -
Broquet
, G., Chevallier, F., Rayner, P., Aulagnier, C., Pison, I.and co-authors. 2011. A European summertime CO2 biogenic flux inversion at mesoscale from continuous in situ mixing ratio measurements. J. Geophys. Res., D23303. -
Chen
, H., Winderlich, J., Gerbig, C., Hoefer, A., Rella, C. W.and co-authors. 2010. High-accuracy continuous airborne measurements of greenhouse gases (CO2 and CH4) using the cavity ring-down spectroscopy (CRDS) technique. Atmos. Meas. Tech., 375– 386. -
Chevallier
, F., Fisher, M., Peylin, P., Serrar, S., Bousquet, P.and co-authors. 2005. Inferring CO2 sources and sinks from satellite observations: method and application to TOVS data. J. Geophys. Res., D24309 . -
Chevallier
, F., Ciais, P., Conway, T. J., Aalto, T., Anderson, B. E.and co-authors. 2010. CO2 surface fluxes at grid point scale estimated from a global 21 year reanalysis of atmospheric measurements. J. Geophys. Res., D21307 . -
Chevallier
, F.and O’Dell, C. W.. Error statistics of Bayesian CO2 flux inversion schemes as seen from GOSAT. Geophys. Res. Lett., 1252– 1256. -
Ciais
, P., Paris, J. D., Marland, G., Peylin, P., Piao, S. L.and co-authors. 2010. The European carbon balance. Part 1: fossil fuel emissions. Global Change Biol., 1395– 1408. -
Engelen
, R. J.. On error estimation in atmospheric CO2 inversions. J. Geophys. Res., 4635 . -
Enting
, I. G., Trudinger, C. M., Francey, R. J.and Granek, H.. Synthesis inversion of atmospheric CO2 using the GISS tracer transport model. CSIRO Aust. Div. Atmos. Res. Tech. Pap ., 1– 44. -
Gamnitzer
, U., Karstens, U., Kromer, B., Neubert, R. E. M., Meijer, H. A. J.and co-authors. 2006. Carbon monoxide: a quantitative tracer for fossil fuel CO2?, D22302 . -
García
, M. Á., Sánchez, M. L.and Pérez, I. A.. Synoptic weather patterns associated with carbon dioxide levels in Northern Spain. Sci. Total Environ., 3411– 3417. -
Geels
, C., Gloor, M., Ciais, P., Bousquet, P., Peylin, P.and co-authors. 2007. Comparing atmospheric transport models for future regional inversions over Europe – Part 1: mapping the atmospheric CO2 signals. Atmos. Chem. Phys., 3461– 3479. -
Gerbig
, C., Lin, J. C., Wofsy, S. C., Daube, B. C., Andrews, A. E.and co-authors. 2003. Toward constraining regional-scale fluxes of CO2 with atmospheric observations over a continent: 1. Observed spatial variability from airborne platforms. J. Geophys. Res.: Atmos., n/a–n/a . -
Graven
, H. D.and Gruber, N.. Continental-scale enrichment of atmospheric 14CO2 from the nuclear power industry: potential impact on the estimation of fossil fuel-derived CO2. Atmos. Chem. Phys., 12339– 12349. -
Gregg
, J. S., Andres, R. J.and Marland, G.. China: emissions pattern of the world leader in CO2 emissions from fossil fuel consumption and cement production. Geophys. Res. Lett., L08806 . -
Gurney
, K. R., Law, R. M., Denning, A. S., Rayner, P. J., Baker, D.and co-authors. 2002. Towards robust regional estimates of CO2 sources and sinks using atmospheric transport models. Nature, 626– 630. -
Gurney
, K. R., Mendoza, D. L., Zhou, Y., Fischer, M. L., Miller, C. C.and co-authors. 2009. High resolution fossil fuel combustion CO2 emission fluxes for the United States. Environ. Sci. Technol., 5535–5541 . -
Hourdin
, F., Musat, I., Bony, S., Braconnot, P., Codron, F.and co-authors. 2006. The LMDZ4 general circulation model: climate performance and sensitivity to parametrized physics with emphasis on tropical convection. Clim. Dynam., 787– 813. -
Hsueh
, D. Y., Krakauer, N. Y., Randerson, J. T., Xu, X., Trumbore, S. E.and co-authors. 2007. Regional patterns of radiocarbon and fossil fuel-derived CO2 in surface air across North America. Geophys. Res. Lett., L02816 . -
IPCC
. 2006. 2006 IPCC Guidelines for National Greenhouse Gas Inventories, Hayama. -
Kadygrov
, N., Broquet, G., Chevallier, F., Rivier, L., Gerbig, C.and co-authors. 2015. On the potential of ICOS atmospheric CO2 measurement network for the estimation of the biogenic CO2 budget of Europe. Atmos. Chem. Phys. Discuss., 14221– 14273. -
Kaminski
, T., Rayner, P. J., Heimann, M.and Enting, I. G.. On aggregation errors in atmospheric transport inversion. J. Geophys. Res., 4703– 4715. -
Lauvaux
, T., Pannekoucke, O., Sarrat, C., Chevallier, F., Ciais, P.and co-authors. 2009. Structure of the transport uncertainty in mesoscale inversions of CO 2 sources and sinks using ensemble model simulations. Biogeosciences, 1089– 1102. -
Lauvaux
, T., Uliasz, M., Sarrat, C., Chevallier, F., Bousquet, P.and co-authors. 2008. Mesoscale inversion: first results from the CERES campaign with synthetic data. Atmos. Chem. Phys., 3459– 3471. -
Law
, R., Peters, W., Rödenbeck, C., Aulagnier, C., Baker, I.and co-authors. 2008. TransCom model simulations of hourly atmospheric CO2: experimental overview and diurnal cycle results for 2002. Global Biogeochem. Cycles, n/a–n/a . -
Levin
, I.and Karstens, U.. Quantifying Fossil Fuel CO2 over Europe. In: The Continental-Scale Greenhouse Gas Balance of Europe(eds. A. J. Dolman, A., and R. Valentini), Springer, New York, pp. 53– 72. -
Levin
, I., Kromer, B., Schmidt, M.and Sartorius, H.. A novel approach for independent budgeting of fossil fuel CO2 over Europe by 14CO2 observations. Geophys. Res. Lett., 2194 . -
Levin
, I., Hammer, S., Kromer, B.and Meinhardt, F.. Radiocarbon observations in atmospheric CO2: determining fossil fuel CO2 over Europe using Jungfraujoch observations as background. Sci. Total Environ., 211– 216. -
Levin
, I., Hammer, S., Eichelmann, E.and Vogel, F. R.. Verification of greenhouse gas emission reductions: the prospect of atmospheric monitoring in polluted areas. Philos. Trans. Series A, Math. Phys. Eng. Sci., 1906– 1924. -
Levin
, I. M. K. O. W. W.. The effect of anthropogenic CO2 and 14C sources on the distribution of 14C in the atmosphere. Radiocarbon, 379– 391. -
Lin
, J. C.and Gerbig, C.. Accounting for the effect of transport errors on tracer inversions. Geophys. Res. Lett., L01802 . -
Lin
, J. C., Gerbig, C., Wofsy, S. C., Daube, B. C., Matross, D. M.and co-authors. 2006. What have we learned from intensive atmospheric sampling field programmes of CO2?, 331– 343. -
Liu
, Z., Guan, D., Wei, W., Davis, S. J., Ciais, P.and co-authors. 2015. Reduced carbon emission estimates from fossil fuel combustion and cement production in China. Nature, 335–338 . -
Lorenc
, A. C.. Analysis methods for numerical weather prediction. Q. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 1177– 1194. -
Macknick
, J.. Energy and Carbon Dioxide Emission Data Uncertainties. IIASA Interim Report IR-09-32 ., Laxenburg. -
Marland
, G.. Uncertainties in accounting for CO2 from fossil fuels. J. Ind. Ecol., 136– 139. -
McKain
, K., Wofsy, S. C., Nehrkorn, T., Eluszkiewicz, J., Ehleringer, J. R.and co-authors. 2012. Assessment of ground-based atmospheric observations for verification of greenhouse gas emissions from an urban region. In: Proc. Nat. Acad. Sci. USA, 8423–8428 . -
Miller
, S. M., Hayek, M. N., Andrews, A. E., Fung, I.and Liu, J.. Biases in atmospheric CO2 estimates from correlated meteorology modeling errors. Atmos. Chem. Phys., 2903– 2914. -
Naegler
, T.and Levin, I.. Closing the global radiocarbon budget 1945–2005. J. Geophys. Res., D12311. -
Newman
, S., Jeong, S., Fischer, M. L., Xu, X., Haman, C. L.and co-authors. 2013. Diurnal tracking of anthropogenic CO2 emissions in the Los Angeles basin megacity during spring 2010. Atmos. Chem. Phys., 4359– 4372. -
Niwa
, Y., Machida, T., Sawa, Y., Matsueda, H., Schuck, T. J.and co-authors. 2012. Imposing strong constraints on tropical terrestrial CO2 fluxes using passenger aircraft based measurements. J. Geophys. Res., D11303. -
Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL): LandScan Global Population 2007 Database
. 2015. Online at: http://www.ornl.gov/sci/landscan/. -
Oda
, T.and Maksyutov, S.. A very high-resolution (1 km × 1 km) global fossil fuel CO2 emission inventory derived using a point source database and satellite observations of nighttime lights. Atmos. Chem. Phys., 543– 556. -
Olivier
, J. G. J., Van Aardenne, J. A., Dentener, F. J., Pagliari, V., Ganzeveld, L. N.and co-authors. 2005. Recent trends in global greenhouse gas emissions: regional trends 1970–2000 and spatial distributionof key sources in 2000. Environ. Sci., 81– 99. -
Pacala
, S. W., Breidenich, C., Brewer, P. G., Fung, I. Y., Gunson, M. R.and co-authors. 2010. Verifying greenhouse gas emissions: methods to support international climate agreements. National Academies Press, Washington, DC. -
Parazoo
, N. C., Denning, A. S., Kawa, S. R., Corbin, K. D., Lokupitiya, R. S.and co-authors. 2008. Mechanisms for synoptic variations of atmospheric CO2 in North America, South America and Europe. Atmos. Chem. Phys., 7239– 7254. -
Peters
, W., Jacobson, A. R., Sweeney, C., Andrews, A. E., Conway, T. J.and co-authors. 2007. An atmospheric perspective on North American carbon dioxide exchange: carbon tracker. Proc. Nat. Acad. Sci. USA, 18925– 18930. -
Peylin
, P., Rayner, P. J., Bousquet, P., Carouge, C., Hourdin, F.and co-authors. 2005. Daily CO2 flux estimates over Europe from continuous atmospheric measurements: 1, inverse methodology. Atmos. Chem. Phys., 3173– 3186. -
Peylin
, P., Houweling, S., Krol, M. C., Karstens, U., Rödenbeck, C.and co-authors. 2011. Importance of fossil fuel emission uncertainties over Europe for CO2 modeling: model intercomparison. Atmos. Chem. Phys., 6607– 6622. -
Peylin
, P., Law, R. M., Gurney, K. R., Chevallier, F., Jacobson, A. R.and co-authors. 2013. Global atmospheric carbon budget: results from an ensemble of atmospheric CO2 inversions. Biogeosci. Discuss., 5301– 5360. -
Pillai
, D., Gerbig, C., Ahmadov, R., Rödenbeck, C., Kretschmer, R.and co-authors. 2011. High-resolution simulations of atmospheric CO2 over complex terrain – representing the Ochsenkopf mountain tall tower. Atmos. Chem. Phys., 7445– 7464. -
Rödenbeck
, C., Houweling, S., Gloor, M.and Heimann, M.. CO2 flux history 1982–2001 inferred from atmospheric data using a global inversion of atmospheric transport. Atmos. Chem. Phys., 1919– 1964. -
Randerson
, J. T., Enting, I. G., Schuur, E. A. G., Caldeira, K.and Fung, I. Y.. Seasonal and latitudinal variability of troposphere Δ14CO2: Post bomb contributions from fossil fuels, oceans, the stratosphere, and the terrestrial biosphere. Global Biogeochem. Cycles, 59-51–59-19 . -
Ray
, J., Yadav, V., Michalak, A. M., van Bloemen Waanders, B.and McKenna, S. A.. A multiresolution spatial parameterization for the estimation of fossil-fuel carbon dioxide emissions via atmospheric inversions. Geosci. Model Dev., 1901– 1918. -
Rivier
, L., Ciais, P., Hauglustaine, D. A., Bakwin, P., Bousquet, P.and co-authors. 2006. Evaluation of SF6, C2Cl4, and CO to approximate fossil fuel CO2 in the Northern Hemisphere using a chemistry transport model. J. Geophys. Res., D16311 . -
Schmidt
, H., Derognat, C., Vautard, R.and Beekmann, M.. A comparison of simulated and observed ozone mixing ratios for the summer of 1998 in Western Europe. Atmos. Environ., 6277– 6297. -
Shiga
, Y. P., Michalak, A. M., Gourdji, S. M., Mueller, K. L.and Yadav, V.. Detecting fossil fuel emissions patterns from subcontinental regions using North American in situ CO2 measurements. Geophys. Res. Lett., 4381– 4388. -
Tarantola
, A.. Inverse Problem Theory and Methods for Model Parameter Estimation. Siam, Philadelphia. -
Thoning
, K. W., Tans, P. P.and Komhyr, W. D.. Atmospheric carbon dioxide at Mauna Loa Observatory: 2. Analysis of the NOAA GMCC data, 1974–1985. J. Geophys. Res., 8549– 8565. -
Turnbull
, J. C., Keller, E. D., Norris, M. W.and Wiltshire, R. M.. Independent evaluation of point source fossil fuel CO2 emissions to better than 10%. Proc. Nat. Acad. Sci., 10287– 10291. -
Turnbull
, J., Miller, J., Lehman, S., Hurst, D., Peters, W.and co-authors. 2009. Spatial distribution of Δ 14 CO 2 across Eurasia: measurements from the TROICA-8 expedition. Atmos. Chem. Phys., 175– 187. -
Turnbull
, J. C., Tans, P. P., Lehman, S. J., Baker, D., Conway, T. J.and co-authors. 2011. Atmospheric observations of carbon monoxide and fossil fuel CO2 emissions from East Asia. J. Geophys. Res.: Atmos., D24306. -
Turnbull
, J. C., Keller, E. D., Baisden, T., Brailsford, G., Bromley, T.and co-authors. Atmospheric measurement of point source fossil CO2 emissions. Atmos. Chem. Phys., 5001– 5014. -
Ummel
, K.. CARMA revisited: an updated database of carbon dioxide emissions from power plants worldwide. Center for Global Development Working Paper, 304, Washington, DC. -
Vogel
, F. R., Hammer, S., Steinhof, A., Kromer, B.and Levin, I.. Implication of weekly and diurnal 14C calibration on hourly estimates of CO-based fossil fuel CO2 at a moderately polluted site in southwestern Germany. Tellus B, 512– 520. -
Vogel
, F. R., Levin, I.and Worthy, D.. Implications for deriving regional fossil fuel CO2 estimates from atmospheric observations in a hot spot of nuclear power plant 14CO2 emissions. Radiocarbon, 1556– 1572. -
Wang
, R., Tao, S., Ciais, P., Shen, H. Z., Huang, Y.and co-authors. 2013. High-resolution mapping of combustion processes and implications for CO2 emissions. Atmos. Chem. Phys., 5189– 5203. -
WMO: Report of the 17th WMO/IAEA Meeting of Experts on Carbon Dioxide, Other Greenhouse Gases and Related Tracers Measurement Techniques (GGMT-2013)
. 2013. Beijing, China, 10–13 June 2013 , GAW Report No. 213. Online at: http://www.wmo.int/pages/prog/arep/gaw/gaw-reports.html. -
Wu
, L., Bocquet, M., Lauvaux, T., Chevallier, F., P., Y.and co-authors. 2011. Optimal representation of source-sink fluxes for mesoscale carbon dioxide inversion with synthetic data. J. Geophys. Res., D21304.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/16000889.2017.1325723 | Journal eISSN: 1600-0889
Language: English
Page range: 1325723 - 1325723
Submitted on: Dec 22, 2016
Accepted on: Apr 27, 2017
Published on: Jan 1, 2017
Published by: Stockholm University Press
In partnership with: Paradigm Publishing Services
© 2017 Yilong Wang, Grégoire Broquet, Philippe Ciais, Frédéric Chevallier, Felix Vogel, Nikolay Kadygrov, Lin Wu, Yi Yin, Rong Wang, Shu Tao, published by Stockholm University Press
This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.